Bucharest, January 11, 2024 – # RBJ – Horrifying stories are circulating on the Internet about cohorts of young blacks who are waiting to conquer Europe to avenge their ancestors stolen by Europeans and deported to all corners of the world.
But one thing is very certain. If the states of Europe will not have a proactive demographic policy, then in 50-100 years we will begin to count fewer and fewer states on the old continent.
Even with a policy of closed doors (for foreigners), as promoted by the government in Budapest, the trend cannot be stopped if the economic and cultural differences between the countries will not improve.
Hungary is a conclusive example in the architecture of Europe’s demographic future.
From the imperial past of the Austro-Hungarian structure, only memories remain. Fewer and fewer.
According to Eurostat, in 2023, Hungary is among the states that register a decrease in the number of inhabitants. In 2023, the estimates of the EU Statistical Office show that the population of Hungary has decreased from 9,689,010 inhabitants to only 9,597,085 inhabitants. Some countries have managed to stop the demographic decline, including Romania, the population of our country registering after more than 15 years a slight increase in the number of inhabitants.
Experts in the field show that Hungary’s demographic situation will worsen in the coming decades, and the country’s population will fall below 9 million by 2043.
The number of children born in Hungary is falling every year, and the number of women of childbearing age has fallen by 20 percent in the past 20 years, a senior Hungarian official said.
The natural population loss since the last census in 2011 was 500,000. The birth rate has reversed in recent years due to the demographic age, as baby boomers (the so-called Ratko generation in Hungarian) born between 1945-1953 have passed now of childbearing age.
The forecasts are bleak and portend an accelerated population decline as well as a severe aging of the population.
By 2043, Hungary’s population will drop below 9 million and a quarter of them (24.9%) will be over 65, compared to 20% today. The share of the population aged over 70 will increase from 13% in 2022 to over 20%. In over 20 years, the share of young people under the age of 15 will drop to 14.9% from the current 15.7%.
The decrease in the number of the working-age population (20-60 years) is even more pronounced, falling from almost 55% to 50%. This poses huge challenges for Hungary’s labor market, which is already struggling to meet the growing labor needs of new factories.
In order to create a positive face of Hungary’s demography, Viktor Orban’s government instituted regulations by which Hungarians abroad were obliged to obtain Hungarian passports and be counted in the demographic statistics as Hungarians from Hungary.
As a result, the population of Hungary has been around 9 million people for over 20 years.
A false statistic, however. Because this figure includes approximately 1 million Hungarians living on the territory of Romania (especially in Transylvania), over 400 thousand in Slovakia, 200 thousand in Serbia, 150 thousand in Ukraine. More than 600 thousand Hungarians settled abroad.
Looking back, in this situation, the demographic statistics of Hungary can be seen that the real number of Hungarians in the national territory of Hungary is approximately 7 million citizens.
We show these things not with satisfaction but with sadness, because Hungary is one of the nations that can disappear if this trend of population decline is maintained.