Bucharest, April 14, 2026 – RBJ – The IMF’s spring report on the World Economic Outlook shows us, if another demonstration was needed, that the economic policies in Bucharest are wrong, they have not inspired economic growth at all. With industrial production falling from one month to the next, with an increasingly low level of domestic consumption, to which is added the inflation rate, the highest in the EU, and a record of external debt, Romania has become the last in Eastern Europe in terms of GDP growth.
As for industry, the mistaken policy of the governments in Bucharest to transform the country into Germany’s machine shop destroyed Romanian capital in this field and subordinated the country to the interests of German concerns.
The government is only acting as the country’s accountant, it does not have a short or medium-term policy to restore growth factors.
In 2024, 2025 and 2026, Romania’s GDP failed to exceed the 1% level.
The forecast table prepared by the IMF shows a not-so-good situation.
The International Monetary Fund has reduced the economic growth forecast for Romania from 1.4% to 0.7%, thus halving the estimate compared to the forecast from last autumn. However, in 2027, the economy is expected to grow by 2.5%.
This year’s inflation is expected to be 7.8%, compared to 6.7% as estimated by the institution in its October report, World Economic Outlook (WEO).
Unemployment is expected to be 6% this year, compared to 5.8% in the previous report.
Globally, the planet’s economy should grow by 3.1% this year.
“After withstanding higher trade barriers and elevated uncertainty last year, global activity now faces a major test from the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2026 and 3.2 percent in 2027. Global headline inflation is projected to rise modestly in 2026 before resuming its decline in 2027. Slowdown in growth and increase in inflation are expected to be particularly pronounced in emerging market and developing economies,” says the IMF.
“After withstanding higher trade barriers and elevated uncertainty last year, global activity now faces a major test from the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2026 and 3.2 percent in 2027. Global headline inflation is projected to rise modestly in 2026 before resuming its decline in 2027. Slowdown in growth and increase in inflation are expected to be particularly pronounced in emerging market and developing economies,” says the IMF.
“Downside risks dominate the outlook. A longer or broader conflict, worsening geopolitical fragmentation, a reassessment of expectations surrounding artificial‑intelligence‑driven productivity, or renewed trade tensions could significantly weaken growth and destabilize financial markets. Elevated public debt and eroding institutional credibility further heighten vulnerabilities. At the same time, activity could be lifted if productivity gains from AI materialize more rapidly or tensions ease on a trade sustained basis.”
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